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If we're looking to protect US consumers, we shouldn't be banning internet gambling. We should be advertising how these operations work and AUDIT THEIR CODE to certify that there are no digitally weighted dice and publish the publish the results.
I hope you're right that most poker players will be unaffected, but color me skeptical. Here's analysis from the Poker Players Alliance lobbying group:
http://www.pokerplayersalliance.org/alerts/Anal...
Party Gaming and 888 are going to block all transactions from customers with US addresses - at least, that's how I've read their press statements. So unless you can fake your address to Party Poker and the party that sends money to Party Poker, you're out of luck. And even though I bet some people will take the time to do this, I think many ordinary Americans will be frustrated and effectively denied access beyond the near term.
While not a knockdown argument against your view, let me note that the stocks of the poker companies were halved, and Neteller et al were hit hard to. Are you saying those stock holders were all chicken littles, mistakenly afraid of those companies losing US customers?