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The models are broken now because the government is to tightly controlling the prices. Privation would only help gets things back on track.
What I do know is that the land line business is declining in favor of cell phones and that the telecoms are splitting themselves into cellphone providers and land line providers. Recently Sprint spun off Embarq as a new land line company.
Regarding the NY Times Deal Book Article, Hawaiian Telcom Files for Bankruptcy the times wrote: "Long known as Hawaiian Tel, it turned to Verizon Hawaii when its parent, GTE, merged with the Bell Atlantic Corporation to form Verizon Communications. Carlyle renamed it Hawaiian Telcom."
What I am getting at is that when a telecom divests itself of the land based phone service we may have a situation where the "new" land based company is really a financially "dead" company just waiting to fail because it has been given all the "bad" financial stuff by the parent. Do, I have proof? NO.
Traditional Land based telecom is dying. but before we blame the death on oppressive regulation we need to take a look at the financial structure of the spun off companies such as Embarq and Hawaiian Telcom. Additionally, these companies are losing customers, which means less revenue. Their demise may simply be a result of market evolution where regulation is "irrelevant".
Embarq Cuts Jobs. More Trouble Ahead For Telcos
Om Malik writes "The company lost about 170,000 landlines in the most recent quarter."
He also wrote:"As I’ve said before, the biggest problem for phone companies is that they’re losing voice customers at a rapid clip -– either to cable operators or to wireless. Many believe that uncertainty regarding the economy is making people pick a wireless-only option — a theory supported by robust growth in the wireless additions at Verizon (1.5 million net new subscribers) and AT&T Wireless (1.3 million net new subscribers)."
Based on a quick Google education, I did not see anyone else attempting to attribute the decline in telecom to regulation. This seems to be a case of a dying industry doing what dying industries do, go out of business.
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PS: The following NY Times Article article was staring me right in the face and I didn't see it!!!! :)
AT&T Plans to Cut 12,000 Jobs
"The company is being pulled by two currents at once. Not only is the recession leading businesses and consumers to curtail spending, but a long-term trend in the telecom industry is also at play. AT&T, which provides local phone coverage in California, Texas and 20 other states, has been losing many landline customers to wireless services. In the last quarter, AT&T basic voice lines in service dropped 11 percent."
They currently have a practice of killing off their wholesale customers who do provide good service to subscribers and retain customers for long term, in favor of signing them up direct with Qwest/MSN who in turn provide lousy customer service and loses customers left and right. Trading off long term customers for short term ones isn't a very viable business plan I would think. Qwest seems to disagree though.
The writing is on the wall for Qwest, and probably others. I've heard rampant rumors about acquisitions of Qwest incoming by Verizon or ATT.
ps. I LOVE the bailout comment above! Where do I signup for my multi-billion dollar bailout? Everyone else is getting them afterall.
From Federal Telecommunications Law (2d ed.) by Huber, Kellogg and Thorne (1999), pp. 80-82 [all these figures are from 1996]:I realize this source is a bit old. But not much has changed, except that long distance is no longer as significant a source of subsidy. However broadband and wireless now fill that role. Thus, I feel that this explanation -- which is the best I have seen -- is still largely relevant.
And I agree with MikeRT that the telcos are investing in the profitable operations first. It is easy to see why they invest as little as possible in basic service, because it isn't profitable to begin with.