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The Technology Liberation Front
The Technology Liberation Front is the tech policy blog dedicated to keeping politicians' hands off the 'net and everything else related to technology.
Over at Technology 360, Dennis Haarsager points out that there’s probably too much gloom-and-doom out there in the blogosphere regarding the future of various media platforms. He did phrase searches “to see how the media stacked up in the death department.” He g
... Continue reading »
11 months ago
Two questions:
1. From the newspaper circulation chart, it seems that there was an inflection point in the number of daily newspapers around 1980. The circulation drop off started a little later (about 1991). Those dates both seem a little earlier to be ascribed to the growth of the internet--so to what to you ascribes those drop-offs?
2. I wonder if you have an opinion on the newspapers as not for profit phenomena/trend I'd remarked upon earlier in several posts. That phenomena would address almost all of your concerns, as follows:
* loss of protected markets or “protected scarcity” = there’s just no guaranteed audience anymore
Interesting effect here: this will result in non-profit newspapers being be judged qualitatively, not quantitatively. Patrons/those who manage the foundations will be empowered, but the connectivity of the newspapers will equal their relevance, so that qualitative judgment can not happen in a vacuum
* rapid technological change = the way media is created and transmitted has been completely transformed
These not for profits will not have any problem with these--a web presence will be to their benefit, to reduce costs.
* massive inflow of new competitors / platforms = no way to stop the deluge of new voices, including user-generated contentPlatforms are not a problem-perhaps the deluge/information overload is, but as a not for profit, with ostensibly public spirited goals, these entities should be able to make connections.
* loss of consumer confidence and allegiance = people have plenty of other places to turn their attention
Branding of non-profits, intelligently done, can overcome this.
* loss of advertiser confidence and allegiance = advertisers have plenty of other places to promote their goods and services (including direct-to-consumer appeals and ‘word-of-mouth’ marketing efforts)
This process is good for not for profits--it increases the burdens on their competitors as they lose market share
* loss of investor confidence and allegiance = shareholders have lots of other places to invest their capital today Those who donate to non-profit newspapers will be seen a public spirited philanthropists, and the less strings they attach the more public spirited they will seem; the non-profits will encourage this by maintaining transparency of their operations, including fund raising. The transparency meme will defang non-public spirited special interest groups.
Cheers!
e_f
11 months ago
11 months ago
11 months ago
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/business/AP-Ear...