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JT
Gore's tactic is bait and switch. He sells the fact of anthropogenic global warming but tries to get you to buy imminent global catastrophe.
Bailey is right about global warming skeptics having credibility problems. It pains me to see people like Arnold Kling clinging (no pun intended) to the skeptic line.
The thing I don't understand is this: Why NOT worry about what we are doing to the planet and ourselves? Can anyone say for certain and with no reasonable doubt that we are not making changes to the earth in some way by what we do? I know I can't. How about you?
Anyway, it won't be us that have to worry about whether or not this is true. We will be dead and buried and won't get to see the end of this little story anyway. I love gambling - it's exciting, and I can possibly win big too!
The catastrophe is already real--the changing habitata, the destruction of forest in British columbia, these are all happening now.
Those who are arguing against policy actions to prevent global warming have just changed their arguument, saying that it really not that bad.
What they ignore is that Global Warming is part of a process that will take a very long time to slow down. So it's not that bad--yet. It will be much worrse in the future.
He believes in man-caused global warming, but thinks that Algore's presentation was more "lawyerly" than scientific. It is irresponsible to connect climate change to individual events like Katrina. That is not the way science is done. And if one actually reads the reports of the IPCC, one will find all kinds of "ifs," "maybes," "probablys" and many other fudge-words.
There is a simple problem which we cannot overcome, even if we believe that man is causing global warming (and personally I believe man is responsible for only a small part of a very modest warming). That problem is bad computer climate models. None of them give accurate results if backtested. What that means is that we can't be sure that whatever corrective action we take will fix the warming "problem."
Why this hubristic urge to tinker with a machine we cannot understand? We may be about to plunge into another ice age. Ice ages came and went long before man could have had anything to do with them. If we cut down carbon emissions to stop "warming" we might make the next ice age worse. Do you really want to take that risk???
Without accurate knowledge of why the climate changes, which involves many factors, co-factors, and feedback loops, attempted corrective action could be as disastrous as the alleged effect we've already had. People who deny this simply do not understand chaos theory.